Fight Finance

Question 669  beta, CAPM, risk

Which of the following is NOT a valid method for estimating the beta of a company's stock? Assume that markets are efficient, a long history of past data is available, the stock possesses idiosyncratic and market risk. The variances and standard deviations below denote total risks.

(a) ##Β_E=\dfrac{cov(r_E,r_M )}{var(r_M)}##

(b) ##Β_E=\dfrac{correl(r_E,r_M ).sd(r_E)}{sd(r_M)} ##

(c) ##Β_E=\dfrac{sd(r_E)}{sd(r_M)}##,   since ##var(r_E)=β_E^2.var(r_M)##

(d) ##Β_E=\dfrac{r_E-r_f}{r_M-r_f }##,   since ##r_E=r_f+Β_E. (r_M-r_f )##

(e) ##Β_E= \left(B_V - \dfrac{D}{V}.Β_D \right).\dfrac{V}{E}##,   since ##B_V=\dfrac{E}{V}.Β_E+\dfrac{D}{V}.Β_D ##

Question 672  CAPM, beta

A stock has a beta of 1.5. The market's expected total return is 10% pa and the risk free rate is 5% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

What do you think will be the stock's expected return over the next year, given as an effective annual rate?

(a) 5% pa

(b) 7.5% pa

(c) 10% pa

(d) 12.5% pa

(e) 20% pa

Question 673  CAPM, beta, expected and historical returns

A stock has a beta of 1.5. The market's expected total return is 10% pa and the risk free rate is 5% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

In the last 5 minutes, bad economic news was released showing a higher chance of recession. Over this time the share market fell by 1%. The risk free rate was unchanged.

What do you think was the stock's historical return over the last 5 minutes, given as an effective 5 minute rate?

(a) -12.5%

(b) -4%

(c) -1.5%

(d) -1%

(e) 12.5%

Question 674  CAPM, beta, expected and historical returns

A stock has a beta of 1.5. The market's expected total return is 10% pa and the risk free rate is 5% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

Over the last year, bad economic news was released showing a higher chance of recession. Over this time the share market fell by 1%. So ##r_{m} = (P_{0} - P_{-1})/P_{-1} = -0.01##, where the current time is zero and one year ago is time -1. The risk free rate was unchanged.

What do you think was the stock's historical return over the last year, given as an effective annual rate?

(a) -12.5% pa

(b) -4% pa

(c) -1.5% pa

(d) -1% pa

(e) 12.5% pa

Question 776  market efficiency, systematic and idiosyncratic risk, beta, income and capital returns

Which of the following statements about returns is NOT correct? A stock's:

(a) Expected total return will equal its required total return if the stock is fairly priced.

(b) Expected total return will be less than its required total return if the stock is over-priced.

(c) Required total return should be higher than the risk free government bond yield if the stock has a positive beta.

(d) Required total return depends on its total variance, required capital return depends on systematic variance and the dividend yield depends on idiosyncratic variance.

(e) Expected capital return equals the expected total return less whatever the management decide that they will pay as an income return (which is the dividend yield).

Question 777  CAPM, beta

The market's expected total return is 10% pa and the risk free rate is 5% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

A stock has a beta of 0.5.

In the last 5 minutes, the federal government unexpectedly raised taxes. Over this time the share market fell by 3%. The risk free rate was unchanged.

What do you think was the stock's historical return over the last 5 minutes, given as an effective 5 minute rate?

(a) -1%

(b) -1.5%

(c) -2.5%

(d) -3%

(e) -7.5%

Question 807  market efficiency, expected and historical returns, CAPM, beta, systematic risk, no explanation

You work in Asia and just woke up. It looked like a nice day but then you read the news and found out that last night the American share market fell by 10% while you were asleep due to surprisingly poor macro-economic world news. You own a portfolio of liquid stocks listed in Asia with a beta of 1.6. When the Asian equity markets open, what do you expect to happen to your share portfolio? Assume that the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is correct and that the market portfolio contains all shares in the world, of which American shares are a big part. Your portfolio beta is measured against this world market portfolio.

When the Asian equity market opens for trade, you would expect your portfolio value to:

(a) Remain unchanged.

(b) Instantaneously fall by 10%.

(c) Slowly fall by 10% over the day.

(d) Instantaneously fall by 16%.

(e) Slowly fall by 16% over the day.

Question 988  variance, covariance, beta, CAPM, risk, no explanation

Price Data Time Series
Sourced from Yahoo Finance Historical Price Data
Date	S&P500 Index (^GSPC)						Apple (AAPL)
	Open	High	Low	Close	Adj close		Open	High	Low	Close	Adj close
2007, Wed 3 Jan	1418	1429	1408	1417	1417		12.33	12.37	11.7	11.97	10.42
2008, Wed 2 Jan	1468	1472	1442	1447	1447		28.47	28.61	27.51	27.83	24.22
2009, Fri 2 Jan	903	935	899	932	932		12.27	13.01	12.17	12.96	11.28
2010, Mon 4 Jan	1117	1134	1117	1133	1133		30.49	30.64	30.34	30.57	26.6
Source: Yahoo Finance.

 

Which of the following statements about the above table which is used to calculate Apple's equity beta is NOT correct?

(a) Adjusted closing prices add back dividends and reverse the effect of stock splits.

(b) Apple's effective annual total return between the market close on 2 January 2008 and 2 January 2009 was -0.534269 (=(24.22-11.28)/24.22).

(c) Sample variance of the S&P500's effective annual total returns over the 3 year period was 0.084452.

(d) Sample covariance of effective total annual returns between Apple and the S&P500 index over the 3 year period was 0.041131.

(e) Apple's equity beta of annual total returns over the 3 year period was 3.530767.

Question 1005  variance, covariance, beta, CAPM, risk, no explanation

Price Data Time Series
Sourced from Yahoo Finance Historical Price Data
Date	Adjusted close
	S&P500 Index (^GSPC)	Tesla (TSLA)
2017, Fri 29 Dec	2673.61	62.27
2018, Mon 31 Dec	2506.85	66.56
2019, Tue 31 Dec	3230.78	83.67
2020, Tue 31 Dec	3756.07	705.67
Source: Yahoo Finance.

 

Which of the following statements about the above table which is used to calculate Tesla's equity beta is NOT correct? Over the last 4 years the historical:

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

Question 1006  CAPM, beta, leverage, WACC, real estate

Four retail business people compete in the same city. They are all exactly the same except that they have different ways of funding or leasing the shop real estate needed to run their retail business.

The two main assets that retail stores need are:

• Inventory typically worth $1 million which has a beta of 2, and;
• Shopfront real estate worth $1 million which has a beta of 1. Shops can be bought or leased.

Lease contract prices are fixed for the term of the lease and based on expectations of the future state of the economy. When leases end, a new lease contract is negotiated and the lease cost may be higher or lower depending on the state of the economy and demand and supply if the economy is:

• Booming, shop real estate is worth more and lease costs are higher.
• In recession, shop real estate is worth less and lease costs are low.

Assume that the market’s expected return is 10% pa, required returns are expected to remain constant, shop assets can be valued as a perpetuity of lease profits, and that buying, selling, shutting down, moving out, moving in and opening a new shop has negligible (low) cost. Store owners can invest surplus funds in alternative investments that also earn the 10% pa market return.

Which retail business person will have the LOWEST beta of equity (or net wealth)?

(a) Anne owns her shop, funded with equity.

(b) Bob owns his shop, funded with fixed rate debt that matures in 10 years.

(c) Carla leases her shop on a 1 year contract.

(d) Dan leases his shop on a 5 year contract.

(e) All business people have the same equity beta.

Question 1028  duration, beta, CAPM, DDM

A stock has a beta of 0.5. Its next dividend is expected to be $3, paid one year from now. Dividends are expected to be paid annually and grow by 2% pa forever. Treasury bonds yield 3% pa and the market risk premium (MRP) is 6% pa. All returns are effective annual rates.

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) 6% pa is the stock's required return.

(b) $75 is the stock's fair price.

(c) 26.5 years is the stock's Macaulay duration.

(d) If the market portfolio were to fall 1% today, the stock is expected to fall by 0.5%.

(e) If the Treasury bond yield were to fall 1 percentage point today, then the stock price is expected to fall by 25% approximately, ceteris paribus.

Question 1044  leverage, capital structure, beta

A levered firm has only 2 assets on its balance sheet with the below market values and CAPM betas. The risk free rate is 3% pa and the market risk premium is 5% pa. Assume that the CAPM is correct and all assets are fairly priced.

Balance Sheet Market Values and Betas
Balance sheet item	Market value ($m)	Beta
Cash asset	0.5	0
Truck assets	0.5	2
Loan liabilities	0.25	0.1
Equity funding	?	?

 

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) Market value of assets is $1m.

(b) Firm’s debt-to-assets ratio is 25%.

(c) Asset beta is 1 and required return on assets (or WACC before tax) is 8% pa.

(d) Equity beta is 1.4 and equity required return is 10% pa.

(e) Required return on debt is 3.5% pa.

Question 1045  payout policy, leverage, capital structure, beta

A levered firm has only 2 assets on its balance sheet with the below market values and CAPM betas. The risk free rate is 3% pa and the market risk premium is 5% pa. Assume that the CAPM is correct and all assets are fairly priced.

Balance Sheet Market Values and Betas
Balance sheet item	Market value ($m)	Beta
Cash asset	0.5	0
Truck assets	0.5	2
Loan liabilities	0.25	0.1
Equity funding	?	?

 

The firm then pays out all of its cash as a dividend. Assume that the beta and yield on the loan liability remain unchanged. Ignore taxes, transaction costs, signalling, information asymmetries and other frictions.

Which of the following statements is NOT correct? This event led to a:

(a) $0.5m decrease in equity to $0.25m and cash to zero.

(b) Asset beta of 1 and required return on assets (or WACC before tax) of 8% pa.

(c) $0.50 fall in the share price if there are 1 million shares.

(d) Equity beta of 3.9 and required return of 22.5% pa.

(e) Debt-to-assets ratio of 50%.